Severe Weather Discussion for April 4 – 10, 2016. Issued: 04/03/2016

Highlights:

– Slight chance for thunderstorms Saturday/Sunday.

– Temperatures will be near 80F Monday, mid 80s Tuesday, mid 70s Wednesday, upper 70s Thursday, low 70s Friday, upper 70s Saturday and low 80s Sunday.

Probabilities:

None

Discussion:

Northwest flow will dominate the region this week with little in the way of sensible weather impacts. The main story will be above average temperatures and fire weather concerns. An Alberta style clipper will dive southeast across the region on Wednesday with some cooler air, will feel cooler after low 80s Monday/Tuesday. Once this system passes, we’ll have a few days of 70s followed by a warmup next weekend. Models advertise a weak southern stream shortwave trof, which undercuts the eastern Pacific ridge, moving into the region on Saturday/Sunday. There is some moisture return ahead of this system, so went with low POPs due to uncertainty this far out.

Attachment is SPC fire weather outlook for this week, ugly is probably the best description right now.

Numbers ended up close to NWS, so no changes.

Screen Shot 2016-04-03 at 9.05.51 PM

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