Severe Weather Discussion for November 4 – 10, 2013.
– Showers are likely Monday evening through Wednesday morning across much of Oklahoma. A few thunderstorms are possible in southern Oklahoma.
– Temperatures will be in the mid 60s Monday, near 60F Tuesday, mid 50s Wednesday, near 60F Thursday, low 60s Friday, mid 60s Saturday-Sunday.
Primary interest for this week will be upper system taking shape across the western U.S. This system will translate east late Monday into Tuesday, bringing a decent chance for showers across much of Oklahoma. Models are in the common 1-2 inches range, so hopefully we’ll get the anticipated rain. A cold front front will shift southeast across the state late Tuesday into Wednesday. As such, after a mild Monday/Tuesday, the temperature will drop Wednesday with strong northerly winds. Thursday morning has a decent chance at a widespread freeze as a warming trend begins across the state. Friday-Sunday are expected to be pleasant. A fast moving and small upper system will cruise by on Friday with clouds being the main impacts. Extended models show another system approaching @13/14th with the GFS being fast and EC being slow. So, what else is new?
Overall, a decent early November week is ahead for the region. First guess at numbers matched up with going models/NWS. Only a few changes.by