Severe Weather Discussion for November 4 – 10, 2013

Severe Weather Discussion for November 4 – 10, 2013.
Issued:  11/03/2013.
–  Showers are likely Monday evening through Wednesday morning across much of Oklahoma.  A few thunderstorms are possible in southern Oklahoma.
–  Temperatures will be in the mid 60s Monday, near 60F Tuesday, mid 50s Wednesday, near 60F Thursday, low 60s Friday, mid 60s Saturday-Sunday.
Primary interest for this week will be upper system taking shape across the western U.S.  This system will translate east late Monday into Tuesday, bringing a decent chance for showers across much of Oklahoma.  Models are in the common 1-2 inches range, so hopefully we’ll get the anticipated rain.  A cold front front will shift southeast across the state late Tuesday into Wednesday.  As such, after a mild Monday/Tuesday, the temperature will drop Wednesday with strong northerly winds.  Thursday morning has a decent chance at a widespread freeze as a warming trend begins across the state.  Friday-Sunday are expected to be pleasant.  A fast moving and small upper system will cruise by on Friday with clouds being the main impacts.  Extended models show another system approaching @13/14th with the GFS being fast and EC being slow.  So, what else is new?
Overall, a decent early November week is ahead for the region.  First guess at numbers matched up with going models/NWS.  Only a few changes.
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