Severe Weather Discussion for November 12 – 18, 2012

Severe Weather Discussion for November 12 – 18, 2012.
Issued:  11/11/2012.
Highlights:
–  Temperatures will be in the mid 50’s Monday, upper 50s Tuesday, low 60s Wednesday, and mid 60s Thursday-Sunday.
Probabilities:
Severe Thunderstorms in Oklahoma:  < 5%
Discussion:
A warming trend will start on Monday in wake of today’s Canadian cold front.  The current northern storm medium wavelength trof will progress eastward into the northeast the next few days and exit the U.S.  A few weak southern stream shortwave trofs will traverse the region this week, but little sensible  weather is expected.  The atmosphere should be too dry for precipitation, although a few clouds seem likely.  No significant airmass changes are expected, so temperatures will decent during the week.
Models appear is decent agreement much of the week, so followed MOS.
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