Winter Weather Update for 1/31-2/1

Models still showing a significant storm is very possible in Oklahoma.  The latest from the NWS OUN

Total storm precipitation from 00Z 1/28 GFS

Total storm precipitation from 06Z 1/28 GFS

If these maps verify it could be a very hazardous travel day on Tuesday and even toward Wednesday morning with blowing snow and cold temps.

The ECMWF is also starting to trend toward a winter storm.  Stay tuned.

Update 12:04 PM 1/28:

Special Weather Statement

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1026 AM CST FRI JAN 28 2011

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-282300-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1026 AM CST FRI JAN 28 2011

...BIG CHANGES ON THE WAY FOR PARTS OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS...

WINTER WEATHER WILL AFFECT OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED AS WELL AS THE CHANCE OF
WINTER PRECIPITATION... ALTHOUGH THE TYPE AND AMOUNT OF WINTER
PRECIPTIATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. THIS
WILL LEAD TO COOLER CONDITIONS SUNDAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES CLOSER
TO NORMAL. MEANWHILE... A DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS TEXAS
BRINGING A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN TO PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

EVEN COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED MONDAY AS COOL AIR CONTINUES
TO MOVE INTO THE REGION. LOW PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL EXPAND NORTH
AND WEST SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL
FALL IN THE FORM OF LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE. HOWEVER... LIGHT WINTER
PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN TO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN AND
MAYBE INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

THE BIGGEST CHANGES WILL OCCUR MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. A MUCH
COLDER ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TUESDAY... WITH
PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASING MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS AN
UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL LEAD TO
A CHANCE OF WINTER PRECIPITATION ACROSS PARTS OF OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO END FROM WEST
TO EAST TUESDAY NIGHT. BRISK NORTH WINDS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THE
COLDER AIR LEADING TO EVEN COLDER WIND CHILLS... WITH BELOW ZERO
WIND CHILLS POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF
OKLAHOMA AND PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

AS FOR THE PRECIPITATION MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY... THERE CONTINUES
TO BE UNCERTAINTIES AT ANY GIVEN LOCATION AS TO THE PRECIPITATION
TYPE... TIMING OF WHEN THE WINTER PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN... AND
HOW MUCH WINTER PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS
PARTS OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS MAY RECEIVE ONE TO ALL OF
THE TYPES OF RAIN... FREEZING RAIN... SLEET... AND SNOW. RESIDENTS
SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR UPDATES AS NEW
DATA IS RECEIVED.

IN THE MEAN TIME... PLEASANT WEATHER WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY AND SATURDAY WITH TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS.
THESE WARM TEMPERATURES AND THE DRY CONDITIONS WILL ELEVATE THE
WILDFIRE POTENTIAL TODAY AND SATURDAY. THE WORST FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS COULD BE SATURDAY AFTERNOON WHEN THERE IS THE POTENTIAL
FOR STRONGER WINDS.

$$
Facebooktwittergoogle_plusredditpinterestlinkedinmailby feather
This entry was posted in Forecasts, Winter Weather. Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *