Weekly Severe Weather Discussion

Severe Weather Discussion for July 19 – 25, 2010.
Valid: 07/19/2010.

Highlights:

– Typical July weather this week, hot and dry.

– Temperatures will be in the mid-90s all week, precipitation chances
are low but not zero. Mainly for Thursday/Friday as a weak cold front
approaches.

– NHC is watching two areas today.

Probabilities:

– Severe Thunderstorms in Oklahoma: < 5%
– Storm Chase: < 5%
– Tropical Development: 15%

Discussion:

Conditions this week look more like late-July as the subtropical ridge
is the dominate player. Said ridge will migrate eastward across
Oklahoma today through Tuesday and then setup over the southeast U.S.
Today should be the warmest day of the week, but even that is probably
only a few degrees warmer than what we'll see Tuesday-Sunday. The
ground is beginning to dry out with dewpoints in the low 70s. This
will likely allow temperatures to remain in the 95-96F range this
week. No signs of really hot weather yet, but the hottest time of
year just began on Saturday.

NHC is monitoring two areas, although the chances for development are
low right now. I'll keep the tropical development probs near
climatology.

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About Putnam Reiter

Putnam has been storm chasing since 1990 and is a co-founder of Hook-Echo.com. For his day job, Putnam works in emergency management for information technology.
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