Severe Weather Discussion for July 6 – 12, 2009.
– A return to summer conditions for the region. Temperatures on
Monday near 90F, Tuesday – Wednesday mid 90s, Thursday – Sunday upper
– Tropics are seasonably quiet.
– Severe Thunderstorms in Oklahoma: < 5%
– Storm Chase: < 5%
– Tropical Development: < 5%
Very nice couple of days in Oklahoma for early July. Unfortunately it
will not last and climatology will once again rule. ECMWF has been in
good agreement with the development and subsequent movement of an
eastward U.S. longwave trof the next few days. By Thursday it builds
in the 594dm ridge over Oklahoma and appears it is here for a while.
Normal high is 92F, working up to 94F by the 17th.
Tropics are quiet and see nothing on the models or in NHC discussions
about development. Would expect possibly some activity within the
next two weeks per climao.
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