Weekly Severe Weather Discussion

Severe Weather Discussion for September 8 – 14, 2008.
Valid: 09/08/2008

Highlights:

– Nice cool down on Tuesday after an average Monday. Temperatures
warm into the 80s Wednesday – Sunday. Another cold front is possible
on Friday along with impacts from Hurricane Ike. Showers and
thunderstorms are possible today and Tuesday, then again late
Thursday. Ike may bring rain to Oklahoma this weekend.

– Tropics continue to be seasonably active, peak is this Wednesday.

Probabilities:

– Severe Thunderstorms in Oklahoma: 10%
– Storm Chase: < 5%
– Winter Precip: < 5%

Discussion:

As with last week, the majority of my efforts are on Ike. Weather
across Oklahoma still looks to be a little exciting this week with a
good fetch of cool air heading this way. This is not to ignore that
wonderful 65F day we had last week. The shortwave trof responsible
for this cold front is moving across the northern U.S. today and will
help push the cold front through Oklahoma tonight and on into north
Texas on Tuesday. I haven't research how far south it will get, but
wouldn't expect it to go all that far.

Temperatures will warm on Wednesday and Thursday as another shortwave
trof moves through the northern U.S. Rain chances will appear again
late Thursday into Friday with this feature. 12z GFS has some decent
POPs for Thursday into Friday.

The weekend is rather tough and the hazard of issuing these once a
week. Ike may play a role in our weather or it may not. This will
dramatically change the temperature forecast. For now will note the
potential.

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About Putnam Reiter

Putnam has been storm chasing since 1990 and is a co-founder of Hook-Echo.com. For his day job, Putnam works in emergency management for information technology.
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