Weekly Severe Weather Discussion

Severe Weather Discussion for August 18 – 24, 2008.
Valid: 08/17/2008.

Highlights:

– Very nice mid/late August week on-tap for the region with
temperatures in Oklahoma in the mid/upper 80s through Thursday. A
slight warmup for the region Friday – Sunday with temperatures in the
low 90s. Texas will see a more dramatic warm-up into the upper 90s by
next weekend.

– NHC is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Fay. Peak hurricane
season is ramping up, so would expect more activity.

Probabilities:

– Severe Thunderstorms in Oklahoma: 10%
– Storm Chase: < 5%
– Winter Precip: < 5%

Discussion:

Awesome past few days for mid-August, just tough to believe. Not to
ignore the 5.89 inches of rain received this past week in OKC. The
4.84 set a daily record and an all-time August record.

The closed/cutoff low responsible for our nice weather will be ejected
eastward as a northern stream shortwave trof moves through the
northern U.S. this week. This system will push a cold front near the
state around next Sunday. Overall impacts from storms looks to be
limited this week in Oklahoma. POPs are held for Monday – Thursday,
but are kept low. The best potential will remain the panhandle
region, which desperately needs it.

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About Putnam Reiter

Putnam has been storm chasing since 1990 and is a co-founder of Hook-Echo.com. For his day job, Putnam works in emergency management for information technology.
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