Tropical Storm Edouard – 2008-2

Tropical Storm Edouard at 60mph

At 10:00pm CDT –

– A tropical storm warning continues for Grand Isle westward to Port
O’Connor, Texas.

– A hurricane watch continues from west of Intracoastal City westward
to Port O’Connor.

– The center of Tropical Storm Edouard was 160 miles east-southeast of
Galveston, Texas. Movement is towards the west-northwest at 8mph and
this motion is expected to continue with some increase in forward
speed. Maximum sustained winds are near 60mph and some strengthening
is possible with Edouard possibly becoming a hurricane. Minimum
central pressure is 999mb.

– Tropical storm force extend outward up to 70 miles from the center.

– Landfall is expected just east of Galveston Tuesday afternoon.

Discussion:

To say I’m in no mood to do this discussion is an understatement.
Been a long weekend and a long trip home.

Edouard looks like crap on satellite and this is a result of northerly
shear on the cyclone the past 36 hours. I was right when I noted
yesterday morning that it got its top knocked off. Recent images show
better outflow in all quadrants, but hardly impressive. Lake Charles
WSR-88D shows some banding on the northern semi-circle and this
matches closely with the coldest cloud tops on Water Vapor. NHC seems
to be a lot more excited about Edouard than I am, but they have all
the neat toys. Since they call Edouard 60mph, gotta do it here also.
It has plenty of time to strengthen, so becoming a hurricane is
certainly possible.

There is no change to the forecast track or reasoning. Edouard is on
the southern edge of a strong mid-level 500mb ridge. 00z models are
tightly clustered with a landfall just east of Galveston and a track
just south of downtown Houston. While this may change during the next
24 hours, it shouldn’t be off too much. Landfall is expected between
2-6pm on Tuesday. I do agree with NHC that any wobbling of Edouard
will greatly impact the landfall area.

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About Putnam Reiter

Putnam has been storm chasing since 1990 and is a co-founder of Hook-Echo.com. For his day job, Putnam works in emergency management for information technology.
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