The National Hurricane Center has initiated advisories on recently
formed Tropical Storm Edouard.
At 5:00pm CDT –
– A Tropical Storm Warning is posted from the Mouth of the Mississippi
westward to Intracoastal City.
– A Tropical Storm Watch is posted from west of Intracoastal City
westward to Port O'Connor, Texas. This includes Houston and Galveston.
– The center of Tropical Storm Edouard was located 420 miles east of
Galveston, Texas. Movement is towards the west at 6mph and this
motion is expected for the next 24 hours. Maximum sustained winds are
near 45mph and strengthening is likely. Minimum surface pressure is
– Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 35 miles from the center.
Edouard has become well organized this afternoon and rapidly moved
from a depression to a tropical storm. The models may not be handling
the intensity forecast very well as they tend to have trouble with
rapid intensification. This was seen with Dolly a few weeks ago as
none of the models showed 100mph winds. For now will have to watch
Edouard closely given how warm the Gulf waters are. There may be some
weak mid-level shear, as it certainly looked like the system was
sheared a little this morning.
The track forecast appears reasonable right now as the mid level high
appears weaker along the coast. This is noted by convection along the
coastline and morning raobs from across the region. The models are
tightly clustered just west of Galveston by mid-day Tuesday.
This message was sent using IMP, the Internet Messaging Program.