Tropical Storm Dolly – 2008-01

The National Hurricane Center has initiated advisories on newly formed
Tropical Storm Dolly.

At 10:45am CDT –

– Tropical Storm Warnings have been issued for the Yucatan Peninsula.

– The center of Tropical Storm Dolly was located 270 miles east of
Chetumal, Mexico. Movement is towards the northwest at 17mph, maximum
sustained winds are 45mph, and measured minimum central pressure is
1008mb.

Discussion:

Dolly is on a northwest track per NHC due to a mid-level ridge over
the southeast U.S. Dolly should landfall on the Yucatan Monday
morning. A continued northwest movement is expected through Day 3 or
Tuesday. After that time there is a spread in the speed and direction
on Dolly.

Intensity wise, it will be very difficult for Dolly to strengthen much
due to proximity to land. Additionally, NHC notes that an upper level
low is west of Dolly, imparting some shear on the cyclone. These
factors should keep it on the low-end of tropical storm range until
landfall Monday morning. As it enters the Gulf of Mexico, Dolly is
expected to be in better conditions to strengthen.

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About Putnam Reiter

Putnam has been storm chasing since 1990 and is a co-founder of Hook-Echo.com. For his day job, Putnam works in emergency management for information technology.
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