Severe Weather Discussion for July 7 – 13, 2008.
– Typical early summer week with temperatures in the mid-90s, possibly
warming to the upper 90s this weekend. There is a chance of
thunderstorms Tuesday-Thursday with a cold front.
– Hurricane Bertha continues to move west-northwest in the central
Atlantic Ocean. No other activity at this time.
– Severe Thunderstorms in Oklahoma: 5%
– Storm Chase: < 5%
– Winter Precip: < 5%
Nothing really to talk about right now. Very typical summer week for
the region, although we may warm some by the weekend. The most
excitement this week is the potential for thunderstorms as a weak cold
front nudges south into the state on Tuesday. Time of year would
indicate that storms will be the primary push on the cold front. As
OUN said this morning, the front should wash out on Friday, with a
return to warm temperatures this weekend. Normal high is 92F and
we'll be within that range all week.
Hurricane Bertha is forecast to continue northwest a few more days and
then turn north into a weakness in the subtropical ridge by Thursday.
This may reduce the threat to the U.S. if the forecast verifies. NHC
has hinted at a low confidence forecast and I think we can all agree
on that one. Special discussions will be issued if a threat develops.
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