Severe Weather Discussion for October 15 – 21, 2007.
– Thunderstorms are possible Tuesday night and Wednesday and again on Sunday.
– Temperatures will be seasonable for mid-October.
– Tropics are seasonably quiet.
– Severe Thunderstorms in Oklahoma: 30%
– Storm Chase: 10%
– Winter Precip: < 5%
Progressive southern stream will continue this week with two primary events of interest. The first one will affect us late Tuesday through Wednesday. The second one is progged for Sunday, but confidence is low. Temperatures should be seasonable for October.
I took a bath on the forecast from last week, but not a big deal. This week looks to be somewhat similar but the overall severe potential is iffy. SPC has Oklahoma in a slight risk for Wednesday and this looks like a good bet. I'll follow it up with a discussion later. Sunday has similar potential and may be a little better given time to recover. I went 10% on the chase thing for the heck of it.
Enjoy a nice October week. Tropics are quiet and don't see much happening.
For more information, weather news, weather blog, and chase summaries go to http://www.hook-echo.com.