Hurricane Humberto Discussion – 2007-3

*Humberto Landfalls near High Island, Texas*
Valid: 09/13/2007.

At 7:00am CDT –

– The center of Category 1 Hurricane Humberto was located 25 miles west-northwest of Lake Charles, Louisiana. Movement is towards the northeast at 12mph and this motion should continue for the next 24 hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 80mph. Minimum surface pressure is 987mb.

– Hurricane force winds extend outward to 15 miles and tropical storm force winds to 60 miles.

– Humberto is inland and should weaken rapidly. Watches and warnings will likely be dropped at the 10am update.

– This is the last discussion on Humberto.

– TD8 is still way east and is poorly organized.

Discussion:

Humberto got a lot stronger than any of us thought. I think the top winds reached 85mph and surface pressure dipped to 986mb. The majority of influence from this system is on the eastern semicircle at this point. Humberto should continue its current track given the presence of a shortwave trof near the Red River. NHC forecast continues to hint that Humberto may stall over AL/MS area as the shortwave trof passes it by. If this happens a flooding threat will be possible. However, given that these areas are in a drought condition, they can probably handle some of the rainfall.

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About Putnam Reiter

Putnam has been storm chasing since 1990 and is a co-founder of Hook-Echo.com. For his day job, Putnam works in emergency management for information technology.
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