Severe Weather Discussion for June 11 – 17, 2007.
– Isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible much of the week.
– Temperatures will be near or slightly above normal.
– Severe Thunderstorms in Oklahoma: 15%
– Storm Chase: < 5%
– Winter Precip: < 5%
Last week certainly wasn't what I expected. While the chase summary is still being developed, we didn't see or do much. The cap certainly won this time. This week should be a little more quiet but there may be more aggregate days with thunderstorms. Nothing significant is expected with pulse type thunderstorms likely and the associated damaging wind threat.
Temperatures will be near or slightly above normal this week, currently 86F in OKC. No extreme temperatures are seen at this point. We're at maximum sunlight for the year over the next few weeks. The atmospheric pattern will be rather weak in this area as a ridge develops to our northeast and then attempts to reform over the western U.S. The northern jet stream is well north of the region now and this will limit impacts from approaching shortwave trofs. A cold front is expected to move into the region on Wednesday and this should be a focus for showers and thunderstorms.
Nothing doing in the tropics and not a shocker.
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