Tropical Storm Barry Discussion – 2007-1

The Tropical Prediction Center has initiated advisories on newly formed Tropical Storm Barry.

At 4pm CDT:

– Tropical Storm Barry was located 320 miles southwest of Tampa, Florida. Movement is towards the north at 12mph and a turn towards the north-northeast is expected during the next 24 hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 45mph and little change in strength is expected. Minimum surface pressure is 1000mb.

– Tropical Storm force winds extend outward 90 miles from the center.

– Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the west coast of Florida from north of Keaton Beach to St. Marks.

Discussion:

First real tropical storm of the season develops on opening day, gotta love it. Actually, FL/GA can really use this thing as they are in a D3 drought. D4 is the highest and most significant.

12z NAM from yesterday had a real good handle on Barry, but not so much now. The 12z GFS looks good and appears landfall will occur around 11:00am EST on Saturday in the northern part of Florida. After landfall, Barry should continue moving northeast through the Carolinas. Barry is not expected to move back over open water, so it should weaken.

Barry should not strengthen too much as the season is still young and it will not spend much time over open water.

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About Putnam Reiter

Putnam has been storm chasing since 1990 and is a co-founder of Hook-Echo.com. For his day job, Putnam works in emergency management for information technology.
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