Severe Weather Discussion for November 27 – December 3, 2006.
– Much above normal temperatures Monday and Tuesday for parts of the region; NW Oklahoma excluded. Showers and isolated thunderstorms are likely through Tuesday morning.
– Weather turns much colder on Wednesday for Oklahoma and into Texas Wednesday night; below normal temperatures the remainder of the week. Severe thunderstorms are possible on Wednesday, mainly southeast half of Oklahoma.
– Winter precip is expected late Wednesday into Thursday for much of Oklahoma and parts of north Texas.
– Severe Thunderstorms in Oklahoma: 25%
– Storm Chase: < 5%
– Winter Precip: 60%
Weather pattern to be rather active this week with the main focus on Wednesday and Thursday. Since I’m already issuing special discussions, I’ll keep this short.
Temperatures will be well above normal Monday and Tuesday as western U.S. longwave trof draws up warm/moist air into the region. An Arctic cold front is expected on Wednesday for much of the region. Said front is already in NW Oklahoma, but should remain there until early Wednesday when a strong southward push begins. Severe thunderstorms are possible along the front on Wednesday, primary threats remain large hail and strong winds.
Thursday – Sunday will yield much below normal temperatures for the region. There is a decent chance for frozen precip late Wednesday into Thursday, the probability is set for what’s expected. Much of the state should see some type of frozen precip. The worst of it is expected south/east of I-44.
For more information, weather news, weather blog, and chase summaries go to http://www.hook-echo.com.