Weekly Severe Weather Discussion

Severe Weather Discussion for October 16 – 22, 2006.
Valid: 10/16/2006.

Highlights:

– A little more rain today and warmer on Tuesday and Wednesday for parts of the region.

– Cool down hits Wednesday morning for parts of Oklahoma and late Wednesday for Texas. Temperatures below normal Wednesday and beyond.

Probabilities:

– Severe Thunderstorms in Oklahoma: < 5%
– Storm Chase: < 5%
– Winter Precip: 5%

Discussion:

Weakening southern stream shortwave trof will continue eastward today and will be out of the region late tonight. Longwave trof develops across the central U.S. with another southern stream shortwave trof moving into the region on Wednesday. Since the northern stream system is a ways ahead, a cold front will be pushed into the region before the southern stream system arrives. Moisture will be limited and little if any precipitation is expected.

Longwave trof remains across the central U.S. for a few days, resulting in northerly and periodically westerly flow for this region. Temperatures should remain on the cool side and typically below normal (74F in OKC). Temperatures will be warm ahead of the cold front on Tuesday and then cool down on Wednesday.

Much needed rainfall occurred state wide and the Burn Ban has been modified. Tropics are seasonably quiet with about six weeks left in the tropical season.

For more information, weather news, weather blog, and chase summaries go to http://www.hook-echo.com.

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About Putnam Reiter

Putnam has been storm chasing since 1990 and is a co-founder of Hook-Echo.com. For his day job, Putnam works in emergency management for information technology.
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