Tropical Storm Ernesto Discussion – 2006-4

Ernesto Heading for Florida

At 4:00pm CDT:

– Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch remain in effect from New Smyrna Beach southward along the Florida east coast.

– A Hurricane Watch as been issued for Altamaha Sound, Georgia northward to near Cape Fear, NC.

– Tropical Storm Ernesto was located 105 miles south of Miami, Florida. Movement was towards the northwest at 13mph, maximum sustained winds are near 45mph, and minimum surface pressure is 1005mb.

– Ernesto should make landfall around 1am Wednesday on Florida’s southern coast.

Discussion:

No change to prior reasoning on the forecast track and intensity. Ernesto is still progged to move across Florida during the day Wednesday and may emerge into the Atlantic by Thursday with another landfall shortly thereafter in North Carolina. Currently Ernesto is very disorganized and somewhat tough to believe it can intensify much beyond 65mph. If anything Ernesto should provide much needed rainfall for Florida.


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About Putnam Reiter

Putnam has been storm chasing since 1990 and is a co-founder of Hook-Echo.com. For his day job, Putnam works in emergency management for information technology.
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