Tropical Storm Beryl Discussion – 2006-2

Second Tropical Storm of the Season Forms

At 4:00pm CDT –

– Tropical Storm Beryl was located 180 miles southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. Movement was towards the north at 6mph, maximum sustained winds are near 40mph, and minimum surface pressure is 1007mb.

– NHC’s official 4:00pm advisory still has TD2, this will change on the 7pm update.

Discussion:

Track and intensity forecasts remain the same. Models having trouble with Beryl given the recent intensification and lack of sounding data. The 00z runs may provide better analysis.

NHC indicates that Beryl’s structure may allow it to rapidly intensify, however proximity to land continues to be a limiting factor. Beryl is not expected to make hurricane strength, but cannot rule it out with minimal shear, 82-83F SST’s, and good outflow channels.

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About Putnam Reiter

Putnam has been storm chasing since 1990 and is a co-founder of Hook-Echo.com. For his day job, Putnam works in emergency management for information technology.
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