Weekly Severe Weather Discussion

Severe Weather Discussion for July 17 – 23, 2006.
Valid: 07/17/2006.

Highlights:

– Hot and above normal temperatures to continue this week. Slight chance of a cool down Saturday/Sunday.

Probabilities:

– Severe Thunderstorms in Oklahoma: 5%
– Storm Chase: < 5%
– Winter Precip: < 5%

Discussion:

The heat is on across the region, in-line with climatology. Current drought making things a little hotter than the past two years, with widespread 100F temperatures in Oklahoma. Current normal high in OKC is 94F and that is the max normal high for the year. Temperatures will run 7-10 degrees above normal through at least Friday. 00z GFS progs the 594dm 500mb ridge to weaken and drift west late in the week. If this happens temperturaes should cool with also the potential for a weak cold front to move into the region. Even if this occurs, temperatures should remain above normal.

Tropics continue to be normal for this time of year, which is on the quiet side. In 2005 at this point we had five named storms, with three of them hurricanes. There is an old frontal boundary off of S.C. coast which has some limited potential for tropical development over the next few days.

For more information, weather news, weather blog, and chase summaries go to http://www.hook-echo.com.

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About Putnam Reiter

Putnam has been storm chasing since 1990 and is a co-founder of Hook-Echo.com. For his day job, Putnam works in emergency management for information technology.
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